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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.The Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam decided to give disciplinary punishment and warning to former president Ruan Chunfu. On December 13th, local time, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam announced the review results and disciplinary decision of former president Ruan Chunfu and former permanent secretary of the Central Secretariat and director of the Central Organization Department Zhang Shimei. After reviewing the recommendations of the Central Inspection Commission, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam decided to give disciplinary action and warning to Ruan Chunfu and criticize Zhang Shimei. (CCTV News) 

The Ukrainian Foreign Minister once again asked the West to urgently provide 20 sets of air defense systems to Kiev. In the context of the attack on Ukrainian facilities, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrei Sibiga reminded the West that it is necessary to urgently provide 20 sets of air defense systems to Ukraine.Trump: The money saved by automation is far less than the pain, injury and loss it has caused to American workers.Xie Feng, Ambassador of China to the United States: It is unwise to underestimate China, and it is not true to criticize China, and it will not succeed to contain China. According to the official of the Chinese Embassy in the United States, on December 11, 2024, u.s.-china business council held the 2024 annual celebration dinner in Washington. In his speech, Xie Feng said that China's economic operation is generally stable, progressing steadily, and it is confident to stabilize the market and prevent risks, with high-quality development and vitality, and there is potential for sustained recovery. In the first three quarters of this year, China's GDP increased by 4.8% year-on-year, which not only ranked among the major economies in terms of growth rate, but also increased the "gold content", "new content" and "green content" of economic development, ranking 11th in the global innovation index. As the package of incremental policies continued to show remarkable results, the growth rate of consumption, investment and export in October picked up, the real estate transaction volume rose one after another, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index returned to the boom zone, and the turnover of tens of thousands of brands in the "double 11" shopping festival doubled. Xie Feng emphasized that China's economy has always been growing under the challenges of wind and rain, and it is confident to achieve its economic growth target this year. Next year, it will implement more active macro policies to prevent and resolve risks in key areas and external shocks, and it will remain the biggest engine of world economic growth in the future. The sea can't be stirred, and it always rushes. It is unwise to underestimate China, it is not true to criticize China, and it is even more impossible to contain China.

The Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue the gale blue warning at 06: 00 on December 13th. It is estimated that there will be 5 winds and gusts of 6-8 in parts of central and eastern Inner Mongolia, northwestern Shanxi, northern Hebei, central Henan and southwestern Shandong from 08: 00 on December 13th to 08: 00 on December 14th. Most of the Yellow Sea, most of the East China Sea, Taiwan Province Strait, east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel, northern and central South China Sea, and Beibu Gulf will have strong winds of 7-8 grades and gusts of 9 grades.India's domestic passenger car sales in November totaled 347,522.Chip-concentrated stocks clustered in four major industries, and 43 stocks fell for more than three consecutive periods. According to the statistics of Securities Times and DataBao, as of December 12, 300 stocks disclosed the number of shareholders in the latest period, compared with the previous period (November 30), there were 162 stocks with a decrease in the number of shareholders. Specifically, the number of shareholders in 29 stocks decreased by more than 5%, and the number of shareholders in 5 stocks decreased by more than 10%, including Dongfang Huanyu, Zhongshe, Baina Qiancheng, Midland New Materials and Hengshuai. Many chip-concentrated stocks have performed well in the recent market. According to the statistics of DataBao, the average share capital of 126 chips has increased by 4.86% since last month, and the cumulative increase of 18 stocks is above 10%. The top gainers are Guoan Da, Beiwei Technology and Silk Road Vision, which have increased by 42.5%, 26.18% and 21.44% respectively. From the industry point of view, the number of chip concentrated stocks is the largest in the four major industries of mechanical equipment, power equipment, electronics, medicine and biology.